Küreselleşme ve refah devleti: OECD ülkelerinde kamu sosyal harcamalarının ampirik analizi

Yayınlanmış 25.06.2025
Anahtar Kelimeler
- Globalisation, Public Social Expenditures, Panel Regression, Random Effects
- Küreselleşme, Kamu Sosyal Harcamaları, Panel Regresyon, Rassal Etkiler
Nasıl Atıf Yapılır
Telif Hakkı (c) 2025 Dilara Çakmakoğlu- Ali Tarkan Çavuşoğlu

Bu çalışma Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License ile lisanslanmıştır.
Nasıl Atıf Yapılır
Öz
Bu çalışma, 2008–2019 döneminde 17 OECD ülkesinde küreselleşmenin genel, ekonomik, ticari ve finansal boyutlarının kamu sosyal harcamaları üzerindeki etkilerini ampirik olarak incelemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Özellikle ekonomik küreselleşme boyutu ile onun alt bileşenleri olan ticaret ve finansal küreselleşme üzerinde durulmaktadır; zira bu boyutlar, refah politikalarını etkileyen en doğrudan piyasa baskılarını ve ölçülebilir aktarım kanallarını yansıtmaktadır. Analizlerde rassal etkiler panel veri modeli kullanılmış, tanısal testlerle kesitsel bağımlılık, heteroskedastisite ve otokorelasyon tespit edilmiştir. Bu ihlaller, Driscoll-Kraay standart hatalarıyla düzeltilmiştir. Bulgular, küreselleşmenin sosyal harcamaları artırdığını ve bu yönüyle telafi hipotezini desteklediğini göstermektedir. En güçlü etki ekonomik küreselleşmeden kaynaklanmakta olup, özellikle finansal küreselleşme belirleyici rol oynamaktadır. Ayrıca, ekonomik büyüme ve işsizlikle ters yönlü, yönetişim kalitesiyle ise negatif ilişkiler gözlemlenmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlar, küreselleşme karşısında devletlerin sosyal politika araçlarını kullanarak ekonomik güvenliği sağlamaya ve eşitsizlikleri hafifletmeye çalıştığını ortaya koymaktadır.
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