Cilt 9 Sayı 4 (2021): Business & Management Studies: An International Journal
Makaleler

ABD ekonomisinin kontayner navlun oranları üzerine etkisi: Çin-Amerika rotasında bir uygulama

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  • Kamil Özden Efes
Kamil Özden Efes
Dr., Piri Reis Universitesi, İstanbul, Turkey
DOI: https://doi.org/10.15295/bmij.v9i4.1958

Yayınlanmış 2021-12-25

Nasıl Atıf Yapılır

Efes, K. Özden. (2021). ABD ekonomisinin kontayner navlun oranları üzerine etkisi: Çin-Amerika rotasında bir uygulama. Business & Management Studies: An International Journal, 9(4), 1599–1610. https://doi.org/10.15295/bmij.v9i4.1958

Telif Hakkı (c) 2021 Kamil Özden Efes

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Özet

Konteyner taşımacılığı, dünyanın üretilen tüketim malları için çok önemli bir taşımacılık çeşididir. Deniz yoluyla yapılan ticaret ve dolayısıyla konteyner taşımacılığı çeşitli faktörlerden oldukça etkilenir. Küresel ekonomik büyüme, uluslararası ticaret, konteyner taşımacılığı pazarındaki arz-talep dengesi, konteyner taşımacılığı sektörünü etkileyen faktörlerden bazılarıdır. Küresel ekonomi en önemli talep faktörüdür. Konteyner taşımacılığında arz, esnek olmayan konteyner filosu kapasitesidir ve piyasa ani talep değişikliklerine cevap veremez. Ancak talep tarafındaki değişikler navlun oranları üzerinde ani etkiler yapabilir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, talepteki değişimlerin konteyner taşımacılığı navlun oranları üzerindeki etkisini ampirik olarak incelemektir. Analizde, dünyanın en büyük ekonomisi olan ABD'nin GSYİH'sindeki değişimin ABD ile Çin arasındaki konteyner navlun oranlarına etkisi regresyon analizi yöntemi ile incelenmiştir. Araştırma sonuçlarında, yapısal kırılmalar dikkate alındığında değişkenler arasındaki ilişkinin pozitif olduğu ve GSYİH'deki %1'lik bir değişimin navlun oranlarında %3,17'lik bir değişime neden olduğu tespit edilmiştir. COVİD-19'un da etkisiyle 2020 1. çeyrek sonrasında modelde yapısal kırılma olduğu da belirlenmiştir.
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